European data centre market prepares for record take-up and supply growth, surpassing 2,000MW
- The FLAP market will see more than 415MW of new supply added in 2021. This is almost 100MW more than the last highest performing year of 2019. The market will surpass 2,200 MW of supply.
- CBRE forecasts 370MW of take-up, more than 230MW of which has already been signed as pre-lets.
- FLAP market providers signed more than 440MW of new contracts in 2020
The European carrier-neutral data centre markets are scheduled to see record amounts of supply and take-up in 2021, with high rates of growth expected to last into 2022 and 2023.
CBRE’s forecasts, based on FLAP (Frankfurt, London, Amsterdam and Paris) market activity, show that cloud currently accounts for 80% of market demand.
Hyperscale cloud providers will continue to be the main consumers of data centre supply over the coming three years, accounting for a high proportion of wholesale colocation deals.
Enterprises and other service providers will encourage growth across the retail colocation market as they look to transform IT environments post COVID-19.
The FLAP market will see more than 415MW of new supply added in 2021. This is almost 100MW more than the last highest performing year of 2019. The market will surpass 2,200 MW of supply.
We also expect to see 370MW of take-up, more than 230MW of which has already been signed as pre-lets. The market signed 440MW of new contracts in 2020 – more than half of these will be realised in future years.
Penny Madsen-Jones, Director of EMEA Data Centre Research at CBRE, said such high activity follows 2020, when the market surpassed its original forecast made in Q1, 2020 (prior to COVID-19) to record more than 200MW of new take-up.
“It is remarkable that the data centre market, which has faced supply challenges, has been able to meet continued high demand. Constraints have ultimately led more customers – in particular hyperscale customers – to carefully consider their data centre needs for the years ahead, and this has led to high pre-let activity. This provides CBRE with amazing insight into take-up for the years ahead,” Madsen-Jones said.
“Much of the pre-let activity we have seen has been focused around existing cloud availability zones. We will see even more such activity as the build-to-suit market (which builds specifically to hyperscale specifications) grows.
“Many markets, however, will continue to experience challenges site access and power in where cloud availability zones exist, and we expect, as a result, to see new availability zones formed across existing markets in coming years, leading to continued high demand.”
During 2020, 173MW of supply was added across the FLAP markets, which saw 201MW of take-up. The markets currently operate with a vacancy rate of 19%, down from 21% a year ago.
CBRE is releasing these findings and more in its quarterly Europe Data Centres report.